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CD rates may peak in the next few weeks, experts say — how to lock in a top-tier rate now

Interest rates on certificates of deposit are red hot. Will the streak of increases continue?

CD rates may peak in the next few weeks, experts say — how to lock in a top-tier rate now

Interest rates on certificates of deposit are red hot. Will the streak of increases continue?

RHONDELLA: WELCOME BACK. UNCERTAIN FINANCIAL TIMES FEELING EVEN MORE UNCERTAIN DUE TO THE INTEREST RATES STILL ON THE RISE. THESE AREN’T ALWAYS THE EASIEST TOPICS TO UNDERSTAND, SO JOINING US NOW TO HELP US ALL BREAK IT DOWN IS BANKRATE.COM U.S. ECONOMY REPORTER SARAH FOSTER. GOOD MORNING, THANK YOU FOR JOINING US AGAIN. >> THANKS FOR HAVING ME BACK. JENNIFER: WE SPOKE WITH YOU THREE WEEKS AGO ABOUT THESE RISING INTEREST RATES THAT KEEP GOING UP. ARE YOU SURPRISED THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE DECIDED TO RAISE RATES BY ANOTHER QUARTER PERCENT THIS LAST WEEK? >> PROBABLY ONE OF THE BIGGEST HEADACHES, BUT ONE OF THE BIGGEST REPORTS FOR FEBRUARY, PRICES ARE STILL ELEVATED AND THE FED UNDERSTANDS THE MAIN OBJECTIVE IS MAINTAINING PRICE STABILITY. WHAT I’VE BEEN TELLING PEOPLE AND WHAT ECONOMISTS HAVE BEEN SAYING IS THAT THIS DECISION TO RAISE INTEREST RATES BY THAT SMALL AMOUNT, THAT IS ABOUT MEETING BOTH OF THESE CONCERNS IN THE MIDDLE. ON THE ONE HAND, YOU DON’T WANT TO CAUSE TOO MUCH PAIN FOR BANKS, BUT YOU ALSO WANT TO MAKE SURE THAT PRICES COME BACK A MUCH MORE SUSTAINABLE LEVEL. >> SINCE WE SPOKE A FEW WEEKS AGO, WE SEE TWO MAJOR BANKS COLLAPSE AND THE RIPPLE EFFECTS OF COUNTLESS OTHERS. WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF WHAT HAS HAPPENED? >> THE BOTTOM LINE THAT I LIKE TO TELL CONSUMERS IS THAT YOU SHOULD NOT BE PANICKING IF YOU PUT YOUR MONEY IN A BANK THAT IS PART OF THE FDIC, AND IF YOUR CASH FALLS WITHIN THE THRESHOLD. BUT THERE ARE SOME CONCERNS HERE ABOUT WHAT IS HAPPENING, SPECIFICALLY AT THESE MIDSIZE COMMUNITY BANKS, THAT THEY COULD WEIGH ON THE ECONOMY JUST A LITTLE BIT, NOT BECAUSE OF THESE FAILURES, BUT BECAUSE THESE REGIONAL-SIZED BANKS, THEY WANT TO MAKE SURE THEY RETAIN ENOUGH CASH ON HAND TO COVER ALL OF THE DEPOSITOR NEEDS. AND SO WE KNOW THAT THESE MIDSIZE BANKS, THEY REALLY MAKE UP A LARGE AMOUNT GOING INTO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE, EVEN FOR CONSUMER LENDING. THOSE LENDING STANDARDS, YOU CAN SEE A LITTLE BIT OF THAT ON THE ECONOMY. JENNIFER: TO FOLLOW-UP ON THAT, A POLL THIS PAST WEEK SHOWS THAT ONLY 10% OF AMERICANS HAVE A GREAT DEAL OF CONFIDENCE IN THE NATION’S BANKS AND FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS RIGHT NOW. MORE THAN HALF THINK THE GOVERNMENT IS NOT DOING ENOUGH TO REGULATE BANKS AND FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS. WHAT DO YOU THINK NEEDS TO BE DONE TO RESTORE TRUST IN THE INDUSTRY AT THIS POINT? >> WHAT WE DO KNOW HERE IS THAT TRUST IN THE BANKING SYSTEM IS THE BEDROCK FOR IT. WE CAN’T HAVE CONFIDENCE IN BANKS AND WE NEED TO HAVE CONFIDENCE IN BANKS AND ALSO A STRONG ECONOMY. WHAT WE ARE LIKELY GOING TO HEAR DISCUSSIONS ABOUT OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS, WE’VE ALREADY SEEN SOME REPRESENTATIVES POINT OUT THE IDEA OF DEPOSITS AT THE FDIC INSURANCE. JANET YELLEN KIND OF WALK THAT BACK A FEW DAYS AGO AND ADDRESSED AT THE CONGRESS. BUT I THINK WHAT YOU’RE GOING TO SEE HERE IS THAT THESE BANKING REGULATORS, THEY WANT TO MAKE SURE THAT ALL DEPOSITORS KNOW THAT THEIR CASH IS SAFE. THIS IS GOING TO BE A MAJOR AREA OF EMPHASIS FOR THEM GOING FORWARD. JENNIFER: SARAH FOSTER, THANK YOU AGAIN FOR YOUR INSIGHT
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CD rates may peak in the next few weeks, experts say — how to lock in a top-tier rate now

Interest rates on certificates of deposit are red hot. Will the streak of increases continue?

PHNjcmlwdCB0eXBlPSJ0ZXh0L2phdmFzY3JpcHQiIHNyYz1odHRwczovL3N0YXRpYy5teWZpbmFuY2UuY29tL3dpZGdldC9teUZpbmFuY2Vfdmlld3BvcnRfZGV0ZWN0aW9uLmpzPjwvc2NyaXB0PjxzY3JpcHQgYXN5bmMgdHlwZT0idGV4dC9qYXZhc2NyaXB0Ij5teWZpV2F0Y2hXaWRnZXQoJ215ZmlXaWRnZXRfMycpO215ZmlXYXRjaFdpZGdldCgnbXlmaVdpZGdldF8xJyk7bXlmaVdhdGNoV2lkZ2V0KCdteWZpV2lkZ2V0XzMuMScpOzwvc2NyaXB0Pg==Ann C. Logue is a freelance writer specializing in business and finance. She is a chartered financial analyst, and before coming into writing, she worked for 12 years as an investment analyst. She's written five books on investing for Wiley’s …For Dummies series, and her freelance writing has appeared in the New York Times, Barron's, Newsweek, and Entrepreneur, among others. She can be reached at annlogue.comHearst Television participates in various affiliate marketing programs, which means we may get paid commissions on editorially chosen products purchased through our links to retailer sites. This may influence which products we write about and where those products appear on the site, but it does not affect our recommendations or advice, which are grounded in research. Mobile app users, click here for the best viewing experience.The first half of 2023 has been a boon for savers: The best interest rates on certificates of deposit (CDs) have topped 5%, the highest they’ve been in about 15 years. Since CDs require a commitment, however, that leaves many wondering: Will CD rates go up even more in 2023? Or have they hit their peak? The answer depends on where the economy goes as well as what happens in the banking system. An interest rate is nothing more than the price of money, and like any price, it’s determined by supply and demand. The more that consumers, businesses and governments want to borrow money, the higher rates will go. The more that people want to save, the lower rates will go. Of course, the Federal Reserve system can give rates a nudge to help manage the economy. Here's what you need to know to get the most out of CDs over the coming months.What are today’s CD rates?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If you’re willing to shop around, however, you may find higher rates, especially if you consider online banks, which tend to pay more interest.What influences CD ratesCD rates are based in part on the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate on balances that banks hold at the Federal Reserve banks. When the central banks want to soften or strengthen the economy, they adjust the rates that they charge or pay banks in the system. The Fed has raised the federal funds rate 11 times in the past year-and-a-half in an aggressive campaign to cool inflation. Most recently, it hiked interest rates by 0.25% on July 26, bringing the benchmark borrowing rate to between 5.25% and 5.50%.Member banks then set the rates that they charge on loans and pay on savings accounts, including certificates of deposit. Considerations include the fed funds rate, whether the bank needs deposits to fund its loan portfolio, and what competitors are doing. To protect member banks from overpaying to attract capital, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation sets a cap for less than well capitalized institutions. Because many factors go into setting CD rates, savers find it pays to check out the offerings at multiple banks before locking their money away. Where experts predict CD rates will go nextIt seems that another Fed rate hike in September is all but a given, based on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's August 26 remarks at an economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.'We are prepared to raise rates further if appropriate, and intend to hold policy at a restrictive level until we are confident that inflation is moving sustainably down toward our objective," he said.That also suggests that the Fed doesn't plan to cut rates this year, either. But will it stop hiking them before the end of 2023?Many economists think so — which would mean that interest rates on CDs are likely nearing their peak. However, since the Fed is expected to hold the federal funds rate at a high level for a while, CDs rates will probably stay elevated for the foreseeable future, too.A CD ladder is a great way to moderate your risk: It will allow you to lock in high rates right now but also hedge against the future, whether rates continue to rise or begin to fall. Instead of putting all your money in one CD, with a CD ladder, you spread your money among several CDs with different maturity dates. This way you're not committing too much money to one rate.Pros and cons of CDsBecause a CD is a commitment, you’ll want to consider how it fits into your personal financial picture. ProsHigher interest ratesA safe, FDIC-insured way to save moneyFixed interest rate, so it will stay the same for the term even if the market shiftsYou can predict how much your money will growConsYour money is locked in for a specific amount of timeThere are penalties for early withdrawalsThe fixed interest rate can turn into a negative if rates on other types of savings accounts go up during the termLower return over the long-term than you’d get from investing in the stock marketThe bottom line for 2023 CD ratesThe consensus for interest rates seems to be that rates are likely to rise slightly more this year before leveling out. This means that CD rates are probably at or near their peak. Still, if you’re concerned about missing out, look for CDs that have no penalty for moving funds into a CD with a higher rate.Editorial Disclosure: All articles are prepared by editorial staff and contributors. Opinions expressed therein are solely those of the editorial team and have not been reviewed or approved by any advertiser. The information, including rates and fees, presented in this article is accurate as of the date of the publish. Check the lender’s website for the most current information.This article was originally published on SFGate.com and reviewed by Lauren Williamson, who serves as Financial and Home Services Editor for the Hearst E-Commerce team. Email her at lauren.williamson@hearst.com.

Ann C. Logue is a freelance writer specializing in business and finance. She is a chartered financial analyst, and before coming into writing, she worked for 12 years as an investment analyst. She's written five books on investing for Wiley’s …For Dummies series, and her freelance writing has appeared in the New York Times, Barron's, Newsweek, and Entrepreneur, among others. She can be reached at annlogue.com

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Hearst Television participates in various affiliate marketing programs, which means we may get paid commissions on editorially chosen products purchased through our links to retailer sites. This may influence which products we write about and where those products appear on the site, but it does not affect our recommendations or advice, which are grounded in research.

Mobile app users, click here for the best viewing experience.

The first half of 2023 has been a boon for savers: The best interest rates on certificates of deposit (CDs) have topped 5%, the highest they’ve been in about 15 years. Since CDs require a commitment, however, that leaves many wondering: Will CD rates go up even more in 2023? Or have they hit their peak? The answer depends on where the economy goes as well as what happens in the banking system.

An interest rate is nothing more than the price of money, and like any price, it’s determined by supply and demand. The more that consumers, businesses and governments want to borrow money, the higher rates will go. The more that people want to save, the lower rates will go. Of course, the Federal Reserve system can give rates a nudge to help manage the economy. Here's what you need to know to get the most out of CDs over the coming months.

What are today’s CD rates?

If you’re willing to shop around, however, you may find higher rates, especially if you consider online banks, which tend to pay more interest.

What influences CD rates

CD rates are based in part on the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate on balances that banks hold at the Federal Reserve banks. When the central banks want to soften or strengthen the economy, they adjust the rates that they charge or pay banks in the system. The Fed has raised the federal funds rate 11 times in the past year-and-a-half in an aggressive campaign to cool inflation. Most recently, it hiked interest rates by 0.25% on July 26, bringing the benchmark borrowing rate to between 5.25% and 5.50%.

Member banks then set the rates that they charge on loans and pay on savings accounts, including certificates of deposit. Considerations include the fed funds rate, whether the bank needs deposits to fund its loan portfolio, and what competitors are doing. To protect member banks from overpaying to attract capital, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation sets a cap for less than well capitalized institutions.

Because many factors go into setting CD rates, savers find it pays to check out the offerings at multiple banks before locking their money away.

Where experts predict CD rates will go next

It seems that another Fed rate hike in September is all but a given, based on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's August 26 remarks at an economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

'We are prepared to raise rates further if appropriate, and intend to hold policy at a restrictive level until we are confident that inflation is moving sustainably down toward our objective," he said.

That also suggests that the Fed doesn't plan to cut rates this year, either. But will it stop hiking them before the end of 2023?

Many economists think so — which would mean that interest rates on CDs are likely nearing their peak. However, since the Fed is expected to hold the federal funds rate at a high level for a while, CDs rates will probably stay elevated for the foreseeable future, too.

A CD ladder is a great way to moderate your risk: It will allow you to lock in high rates right now but also hedge against the future, whether rates continue to rise or begin to fall. Instead of putting all your money in one CD, with a CD ladder, you spread your money among several CDs with different maturity dates. This way you're not committing too much money to one rate.

Pros and cons of CDs

Because a CD is a commitment, you’ll want to consider how it fits into your personal financial picture.

Pros

  • Higher interest rates
  • A safe, FDIC-insured way to save money
  • Fixed interest rate, so it will stay the same for the term even if the market shifts
  • You can predict how much your money will grow

Cons

  • Your money is locked in for a specific amount of time
  • There are penalties for early withdrawals
  • The fixed interest rate can turn into a negative if rates on other types of savings accounts go up during the term
  • Lower return over the long-term than you’d get from investing in the stock market

The bottom line for 2023 CD rates

The consensus for interest rates seems to be that rates are likely to rise slightly more this year before leveling out. This means that CD rates are probably at or near their peak. Still, if you’re concerned about missing out, look for CDs that have no penalty for moving funds into a CD with a higher rate.

Editorial Disclosure: All articles are prepared by editorial staff and contributors. Opinions expressed therein are solely those of the editorial team and have not been reviewed or approved by any advertiser. The information, including rates and fees, presented in this article is accurate as of the date of the publish. Check the lender’s website for the most current information.

This article was originally published on SFGate.com and reviewed by Lauren Williamson, who serves as Financial and Home Services Editor for the Hearst E-Commerce team. Email her at lauren.williamson@hearst.com.